Friday, September 16, 2011

2011 Emmy Predictions: Lead Actors

From business executives to stand-up comedians, football coaches to serial killers... this one's going to be a doozy.

Predicting who/what the TV Academy will vote for is a seemingly impossible task. They always seem to snub some of the most deserving nominees and go for some puzzling choices, but let's try to reason with the crazies anyway. All this week, I'll be breaking down my predictions in each of the major acting and series categories, finishing it off with my full predictions ballot at the end of the week.

So far we've broken down the predictions for the Supporting Actors, Supporting Actresses and Lead Actresses. Now let's take a look at the men in charge: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series and Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series.

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis C.K., Louie
Steve Carell, The Office
Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory 

Steve Carell has never won an Emmy for his portrayal of Michael Scott on The Office. Just let that sink into your brain for a second. And since this past season was his last, it would behoove the Academy to finally give the man some recognition. Of course, he's up against some stiff competition: namely previous winners Alec Baldwin and Jim Parsons who are both coming off fantastic seasons chock full of Emmy-worthy material. And Louis C.K. is certainly not to be counted out, especially if voters take into account that he does just about everything on Louie. Still, I'm going with the emotional prediction and calling Carell for the win.

Should & Will Win: Steve Carell, The Office
Should Have Been Nominated: Joel McHale, Community

Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Timothy Olyphant, Justified

With three-time winner Bryan Cranston ineligible this year due to Breaking Bad's scheduling, this is seriously anyone's game. Cranston's domination has left us with a group of nominees who are all deserving of being labeled "overdue." Kyle Chandler just finished up the final season of Friday Night Lights, so if voters are feeling emotional/nostalgic he could get the win, but Michael C. Hall, Hugh Laurie and Jon Hamm are all also long overdue for some Emmy love. Then of course you have Steve Buscemi, an actor already who won the Golden Globe and is beloved by the Academy in a show that is likely to do some serious damage this weekend. I'm actually going to ignore all of that, though, and count on the fact that voters will remember how stunning Hamm's performance during this past season of Mad Men was and give him the Emmy he deserves. You can call it naive... I prefer optimistic.

Should & Will Win: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Should Have Been Nominated: Sean Bean, Game of Thrones

Who do you think should and will take home the Emmy in these two categories, and who was snubbed out of a nomination?  We've now gotten through all of the acting categories... stay tuned for my picks in the series categories.

[Image Sources: AMC, CBS, FX, FOX, HBO, NBC, Showtime]
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