Friday, September 16, 2011

2011 Emmy Predictions: Series

Now that the parts are complete, let's talk about the whole. It's Outstanding Series time.

Predicting who/what the TV Academy will vote for is a seemingly impossible task. They always seem to snub some of the most deserving nominees and go for some puzzling choices, but let's try to reason with the crazies anyway. All this week, I'll be breaking down my predictions in each of the major acting and series categories, finishing it off with my full predictions ballot at the end of the week.

All of my acting predictions are complete: Supporting Actors, Supporting Actresses, Lead Actors and Lead Actresses. Now let's break down the shows nominated for Outstanding Reality-Competition Program, Outstanding Comedy Series and Outstanding Drama Series.

The Amazing Race
American Idol
Dancing with the Stars
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef

After win seven consecutive times (in the category's first seven years, mind you), The Amazing Race famously lost to Top Chef last year. So what does this mean for 2011? Will the Academy continue this trend and award a new winner? Claim Top Chef as its new reality darling? Or crawl back to The Amazing Race on its collective knees, begging for forgiveness? My guess is that if anyone who hasn't won it yet were to take the trophy it'd have to be American Idol, but I have a feeling that ship has sailed. I would absolutely love for Project Runway or SYTYCD to take it home, but I'm afraid those fan bases are just too small to overcome Chef or Race. And since I've been optimistic throughout this whole week of predictions, I'm going to throw in a cynical prediction for once: The Amazing Race returns to its former glory.

Should Win: So You Think You Can Dance
Will Win: The Amazing Race
Should Have Been Nominated: RuPaul's Drag Race

30 Rock
The Big Bang Theory
Modern Family
The Office
Parks and Recreation  

Parks and Recreation was hands down the funniest show on television this past year. That is not meant to slight its worthy adversaries 30 Rock, The Big Bang Theory and Modern Family, which all had fantastic seasons, but Parks did not have a single bad episode all year and continues to get better and funnier as it progresses. Unfortunately, I'm predicting a repeat win for Modern Family this year. I shouldn't really say unfortunately, because I love Modern Family and I'd be happy to see it win—especially over Glee or The Office.

Should Win: Parks and Recreation
Will Win: Modern Family
Should Have Been Nominated: Community

Boardwalk Empire
Friday Night Lights
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
Mad Men

Mad Men has won this category the last three years in a row, and there is no reason to believe it won't win again for its remarkable fourth season. That is, unless you take into consideration that Friday Night Lights was finally nominated which could indicate the Academy is ready to recognize it for five years of high-quality television, or that Boardwalk Empire already swept the Creative Arts Emmys and there's a high probability it will do the same on Sunday. I've already given Mad Men plenty of optimism with predictions for Jon Hamm and Elisabeth Moss; I'm not so sure I can predict a win here. Nope... I'm giving it to Boardwalk Empire.

Should Win: Friday Night Lights
Will Win: Boardwalk Empire
Should Have Been Nominated: Justified

Whew! I don't know about you, dear readers, but I am exhausted from all these nomination breakdowns. I'm looking forward to kicking my feet up Sunday night and watching the show... and most likely seeing the Academy go against every single one of my predictions. That's just the way this game works.

I'll be back tomorrow with a succinct, complete list of predictions for every award being handed out on Sunday. And don't forget to follow @PWYJudges on Twitter. I'll be live-tweeting the awards show and I'm sure there will be a lot of judgments. You won't want to miss it!

[Image Sources: ABC, AMC, Bravo, CBS, FOX, HBO, Lifetime, NBC, Showtime]
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